Daily Telegraph form analyst Ray Thomas gives his best bets and runs the rule over every race for Hawkesbury on Tuesday.
The Form: Complete NSW Racing thoroughbred form, including video replays and all you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!
Race 4 No. 7: UNITED FRONT
A Kris Lees-trained son of American Pharoah who is a half-brother to two stakes winners. He will be better later and over more ground but has natural talent.
Race 1 No. 9: JOLTED
A Deep Impact filly out of a Group 1 SAJC Oaks winner trained by John Sargent. Gets to 2100m so she should peak.
Race 5 No. 6: JOVITA
Another blueblood; this one a Snitzel daughter of Bennetta trained by Mark Newnham and she can gallop.
Race 4: 7
Race 5: 6
Race 6: 1, 4, 6, 12
Race 7: 1, 3, 4
JOCKEYS TO FOLLOW
Deanne Panya and twin sister Beany are both in action at Beaumont on Tuesday; Deanne for the first time in over two years.
Race 4 No. 7: TO SO FEW
A cleverly-named son of Churchill from the Matthew Dunn stable who is bursting to win. Hard to beat this time.
Race 5 No. 4: LEOPARDI
A Brett Cavanough-trained gelding who barely turned a hair winning his Feb 4 trial.
Race 7 No. 14: PARIS BELLE
Hasn’t done anything in her three starts but could be a rough place chance at huge odds.
THE INSIDE MAIL FOR BEAUMONT
United Front is an interesting horse. Bred by Cressfield, this son of American Pharoah is out of Park Esteem who has thrown one $1m yearling and more importantly, two stakes winners on the track. United Front has trialled seven times, they are a bit hard to ‘read’ but he has never been shown up. Could do something unless the market says he won’t. Romeo’s Choice has placed at five of his 11 starts, four of them are seconds including his last two leading into this and one of them was at Canterbury. Dubai Flyer caught the eye on debut when $20 into $13.
Bet: United Front to win
Jovita was born and raised at George Altomonte’s Corumbene Stud, same as the Slipper winners Sebring and Overreach. Same property as Jovita’s mother, the Light Fingers winner Bennetta was too. As for Jovita, the daughter of Snitzel has looked city class (at least) in her trials. Heiress Hera had the misfortune of bumping into Voldermort at her one and only start at Scone back in May. Trialling well. Doubtless Lady split Euros and Clovelly on debut and was okay after that before the break.
Bet: Jovita to win
L’Esperance Rock races in the colours of her dam-sire Diatribe. She will never be winning Caulfield Cups like he did but she has inherited his big finish. That pattern more or less accounts for why she has won only once in her 16 starts but has placed seven times. Runner-up at her only run at the track and trip. Constructionmaster is trained by the great men, Jim and Greg Lee, who would have been happy with the trial (second to Shades Of Rose). Seething Seb won three in a row last prep and was huge first-up at Grafton.
Bet: L’Esperance Rock to win
Karedada was out of this world impressive when he won here on Oct 24. The son of Wandjina was having just his second start. He drew barrier 6 of eight, sat outside the leader, took over mid-stretch and won by six lengths. Trainer and jockey have a 27.8 per cent win strike-rate. Remlaps Commander did a very good job at his first prep. Beaten narrowly on debut, he won here 14-days later. Spelled, trialled quite well and has drawn really well whereas a few of his main rivals have not; Grand Crusader being one of them perhaps. Myeyesadoreyou doesn’t win out of turn but could figure if we lose a few.
Bet: Karedada to win, quinella 3, 4
THE INSIDE MAIL FOR BALLINA
To So Few is such a cleverly-named horse. He is a son of the four-time Group 1 winner Churchill as in Winston as in ‘never has so much been owed to so few’. To So Few, the horse, paid a huge price for drawing gate 6 of six here 17-days ago. Sometimes you are better off in barrier 18 of 18. Anyway, all things being equal, he should win this time. Vetoed is the great unknown in as much as she on debut at home and off a pretty decent trial here on March 4.
Bet: To So Few to win
Leopardi is a son of Written Tycoon out of Miss Promiscuity whose seven wins include the Sir John Monash Stakes. She also ran fifth in the 2017 Oakleigh Plate. Leopardi is an unraced four-year-old so there’s a backstory there perhaps. Whatever the case, all we can say is that he looked good winning his trial and trainer Brett Cavanough scratched him from Coffs Harbour on Monday to run (from box 2). Costa De Oro is a racy little Pierro mare from the Matthew Dunn stable who has placed at two of her four starts. Only a matter of time before she wins one and is on her way.
Bet: Leopardi to win, quinella 3, 8
Ever Bella has raced 11 times for a win and five thirds. Take note that her win came at start three of her career and it happened to be at Canterbury. Dunn’s mare has more or less been weighted up and ultimately weighed down ever since. That is not to say that she hasn’t been competitive in pretty much all those subsequent starts. Goddess Of Peace has raced 13 for a win and six placings which deal here in big time here. Lost Media was fourth at Eagle Farm 6-days ago. Temptress Katie has claims.
Bet: Ever Bella to win
Paris Belle is going to be massive odds and perhaps that is understandable. She has started at $81 and $61 (twice) in her three starts and finished 10 of 12, seventh of 10 and last of 13. For what it is worth, this is just a throw at the stumps from the boundary, based solely on her trial win at Grafton 9-days ago and that she has a smart trainer. Mahomes remains winless after 36 starts but has placed 11 times. The Bronx Bull was good here last start at his first visit.
Bet: Paris Belle each-way, quinella 5, 14