By Free MLB Picks For Today 6/11/2024
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Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Braves at Orioles—Max Fried will start for Atlanta. Fried has twelve starts in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 2.93 and WHIP of 1.02. The lefthander strikes out 23.1% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 61.2% with 0.61 home runs per nine innings. Albert Suarez to start for Baltimore. Suarez appeared in thirteen games with an ERA of 1.83 and WHIP of 1.02. The righthander is fanning 21% with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.4% with minimal home run damage.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Braves are batting .207 with the Orioles at .275 and putting up six runs per game. Baltimore at home is batting .296 against left-handed starters and putting up 6.8 runs per game against them. Atlanta has lost 22 of 39 with a -17.9-unit loss. Play Baltimore +116.
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Nationals at Tigers—Mitchell Paker will start for Washington. Parker has ten starts on the season producing an ERA of 3.47 with WHIP of 1.05. The lefthander is striking out 19.8% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.2% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Kenta Maeda is the starter for Detroit. Maeda in ten starts has an ERA of 6.25 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander fans 17.1% with 6.9% walks. Grounders are 32.8% with 2.23 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Detroit’s bullpen has an ERA of 5.87 in their home games this season. In their past ten games the Nationals are batting .199. They are averaging 2.2 hits and 0.2 home runs against left-handed starters on the year. The Tigers have lost 20 of 34 with a -7.3-unit loss. Play Washington -102.
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Cubs at Rays—Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon has nine starts in 2024 providing an ERA of 3.47 with WHIP of 1.35. The righthander has seen his Ks dip to 16.4% with 6.1% walks. Grounders served at 43.9% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Zach Eflin gets the start for Tampa Bay. Eflin in eleven starts has an ERA of 4.14 with WHIP of 1.14. The veteran fans 18% with 1.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.9% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Cubs bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.34 and the Rays at home 4.98. Chicago in their past ten games is putting up 4.6 runs per game. Play Chicago and Tampa Bay over 7.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Phillies at Red Sox—Zack Wheeler is the starter for Philadelphia. Wheeler in thirteen starts delivers an ERA of 2.23 with WHIP of 0.97. The veteran strikes out 28.5% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls served at 42.9% with 0.67 home runs per nine innings. Kutter Crawford is the starter for Boston. Crawford has thirteen starts with an ERA of 3.51 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 22.8% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.7% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boston in their past ten games is hitting .262 and putting up 5.3 runs per game. The Phillies are putting up 5.4 runs per game against right-handed starters on the year. The weather is beginning to warm up. Play Philadelphia and Boston over 8.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Guardians at Reds—Triston McKenzie is the starter for Cleveland. McKenzie has twelve starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 4.16 with WHIP of 1.44. The righthander deals 22.3% Ks with 13.1% walks. Ground balls served at 33.9% with 2.01 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.87 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Nick Martinez will be the primary pitcher for Cincinnati. Martinez in fifteen appearances an ERA of 4.13 with WHIP of 1.11. The righty is fanning 17.6% with 2.8% walks. Ground balls are 33.3% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
McKenzie has been roughed up in his past three starts. In their past ten games the Guardians are hitting .251 and putting up 5.8 runs per game. The Reds in this period are hitting .279 and scoring 6.3 runs per game. Play Cleveland and Cincinnati over 9.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Marlins at Mets—Jesus Luzardo will start for Miami. Luzardo in ten starts on the year delivers an ERA of 5.30 with WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander has seen his Ks dip to 22.5% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 35.8% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.88 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Tylor Megill is the starter for New York. Megill has four starts in the year carrying an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander fans 27% with 10.1% walks. Grounders are 35.2% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
New York is batting .214 at home, losing 22 of 35. The Marlins bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.36. The Mets are 18-24 when favored at home by -125 and -175 the past two seasons with a -16.1-unit loss and 8-21 when facing a starter that allows 5.5 hits or fewer per start. Play Miami +122.
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Rockies at Twins—Cal Quantrill is the starter for Colorado. Quantrill has thirteen starts on the season delivering an ERA of 3.58 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander strikes out 16.9% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.6% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Caleb Boushley expected to start for Minnesota. Boushley has a relief appearance allowing two earned runs with a strikeout in two innings. A 33rd round pick out of Wisconsin-La Crosse who had one relief appearance in 2023 allowing one run in 2 1/3rd innings. He has spent parts of eight years in the minors with mixed results and pitching to contact.
The Pick:
Minnesota is batting .222 against righthanded starters going under in 27 of 46. The Twins bullpen has an ERA of 3.03. The Rockies are 86-54 to the under when an underdog of +150 or greater the past two seasons. The Rockies are batting .232 on the road. Lay Minnesota and Colorado under 8.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Pirates at Cardinals—Paul Skenes is the starter for Pittsburgh. Skenes has five starts in the season dealing with an ERA of 3.00 and WHIP of 1.00. The rookie righthander has an elite K rate of 35.5% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Miles Mikolas will start for St Louis. Mikolas in thirteen starts delivers an ERA of 5.32 with WHIP of 1.28. The veteran fans 17.8% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls served at 42.2% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
St Louis is batting .236 at home with a -4-unit loss. They are 36-42 at home facing righthanded starters the past two seasons with a -17.8-unit loss. The Pirates in their past five games are batting .258 and putting up 4.9 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.67. Play Pittsburgh -121.
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Yankees at Royals—Marcus Stroman is the starter for New York. Stroman in thirteen starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 3.04 with WHIP of 1.24. The veteran strikes out 18.4% with 10% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.6% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.82 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Brady Singer starts for KC. Singer has twelve starts with an ERA of 2.76 with WHIP of 1.21. The righthander fans 23.8% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.4% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Kansas City is batting .274 at home and putting up 5.7 runs per game, winning 24 of their first 35. KC record behind Singer is 26-12 at home the past two three seasons with a +16.6-unit return. Play Kansas City +122.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Blue Jays at Brewers—Yusei Kikuchi will start for Toronto. Kikuchi in thirteen starts on the season deals with an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander has 23.7% Ks with 5% walks. Ground balls are 43.3% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Rodriguez expected to start for Milwaukee. Rodriguez expected to make his MLB debut on Tuesday. The righthander pitched well in the lower minors but has been pounded in Triple A with one start in 2023 and 12 starts with a relief appearance in 2024. At Triple A he allowed 40 earned runs with 79 strikeouts in 72 2/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Toronto in their past seven games is batting .223. The Brewers at home are hitting .264 where they put up 5.6 runs per game and won 18 of their first 28. They are 24-12 facing teams that average 2.75 extra base hits or fewer this season with a +11.3-unit return. Play Milwaukee +104.
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
White Sox at Mariners—Drew Thorpe expected to start for Chicago. Thorpe makes his MLB debut on Tuesday. The righthander is a second round pick out of Cal Poly in 2022 who has been traded from the Yankees and Padres already in his career. He put up strong numbers in the low minor’s last season. This year in eleven Triple A starts has an ERA of 1.35 with WHIP of 0.85 striking out 56 strikeouts in 60 innings. Bryan Woo starts for Seattle. Woo in six starts has an ERA of 1.07 with WHIP of 0.53. The righty is fanning 20.2% with 1.7% walks. Ground balls served at 40.4% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Seattle is batting .214 at home going under in 21 of their first 31 games. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.18. Chicago is batting .217 on the road. They are 95-73 to the under as an underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons. The Mariners are 18-8 to the under against losing teams this season. Play Chicago and Seattle under 7.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Athletics at Padres—JP Sears is the starter for Oakland. Sears has thirteen starts in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 3.93 with WHIP of 1.09. The lefthander strikes out 17.7% with 7% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.6% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Randy Vasquez is the starter for San Diego. Vasquez in seven starts has an ERA of 5.40 with WHIP of 1.47. The righthander fans 14.3% with 3.4% walks. Grounders dealt at 42.9% with 1.89 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland is batting .159 in their past seven games putting up 1.7 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.40 in their first 32 games. San Diego is batting .234 at home and have gone under in 8 of their first 12 against the American League. Their bullpen has performed well on the road. The Padres are 35-21 to the under against the American League the past two seasons and 20-9 to the under against an AL team with an OBP of .410 or lower the past two seasons. Play Oakland and San Diego under 8.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Angels at Diamondbacks—Jose Suarez is the starter for Los Angeles. Suarez appeared in sixteen games delivering an ERA of 6.54 with WHIP of 1.67. The lefthander fans 23% with 13.5% walks. Grounders are 46.7% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.72 does suggest a drop in ERA should form hold. Jordan Montgomery is the starter for Arizona. Montgomery has nine starts putting up an ERA of 6.80 with WHIP of 1.73. The lefty has seen his Ks drop to 13.8% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.4% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.84 with the Diamondbacks at home 4.40. Arizona is batting .270 in their past ten games and putting up 5.7 runs per game. The Angels are batting .268 against left handers and putting up 5.1 runs per game. Arizona is hitting .276 against left-handed starters and scoring 5.8 runs per game. Play Los Angeles and Arizona over 9.
Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Astros at Giants—Ronel Blanco is the starter for Houston. Blanco has eleven starts in the season dealing with an ERA of 2.78 with WHIP of 1.05. The righthander strikes out 22.8% with 10.4% walks. Grounders served at 39.4% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Hicks will start for San Francisco. Hicks in thirteen starts has an ERA of 2.82 with WHIP of 1.19. The righty is fanning 21.1% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 54.2% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Astros in their past seven games are batting .270 and putting up 5.7 runs per game. The Giants are batting .222 against the American League losing eight of their first twelve against them. Houston is 39-34 on the road when lined between +125 and -125 the past two seasons with a +16.2-unit return. Play Houston -108.
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/11/2024
Rangers at Dodgers—Dane Dunning is the starter for Texas. Dunning has ten starts this season with an ERA of 4.09 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander strikes out 26.9% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.5% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. James Paxton is the starter for Los Angeles. Paxton in eleven starts has an ERA of 4.19 with WHIP of 1.49. The lefthander is fanning 14.2% with 12.9% walks. Grounders posted at 38.7% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.34 signals a rising ERA if form doesn’t improve.
The Pick:
Texas bullpen on the road has an ERA of 6.54. In their past ten games they are batting .243. Los Angeles in this span hitting .265 and getting the better work out of their bullpen. In their three-game series with Texas last year they put up 31 runs. Play Los Angeles on run line -1.5 runs.
